Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)


	Newry City		Ballyclare Comrades

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.5
	2.17	3.45	3.05
	2.14	3.69	3.06
	2.06	3.6	2.98
	2.17	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.35)	3.54 ↓ (3.81)	2.93 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
42.6%

Draw
26%

Ballyclare Comrades
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

24%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

23.2%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ballyclare Comrades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballyclare Comrades might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballyclare Comrades could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, McNickle R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Doyle B. ⚽,
12', 1 - 2, Doyle B. ⚽,
16', 2 - 2, McEnteggart E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 3.

Recent matches Newry City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ballyclare is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Newry City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ballyclare Comrades - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
01.04.25	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Limavady United - Newry City	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Newry City - Dundela	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newry City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTTL
- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
01.04.25	Armagh City - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Limavady United	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Dundela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.01.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	3:1
26.10.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	3:1
20.09.24	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1
Northern Irish League Cup
04.10.22	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:2
Northern Irish Championship
26.03.22	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:5
27.12.21	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	0:1
26.12.19	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:1

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