Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Warrington Town		Hereford

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.5	3.4	2	Watch
	3.63	3.43	2.02
	3.64	3.41	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.51	3.42	1.98
	3.5	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.34)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
26.4%

Draw
27.2%

Hereford
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.7%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Warrington Town - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Gumbs E. ⚽,
23', Robinson S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Amis J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Hereford have a series of guest games.

Hereford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Warrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Warrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English National League North
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Radcliffe - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Chorley - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Warrington Town - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Warrington Town - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
19.10.24	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Alfreton Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Bishops Stortford - Hereford	3:2 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Hereford - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.04.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	1:2
05.12.23	Hereford - Warrington Town	2:1

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