The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 62.1%
Draw 21.5%
Warrington Town 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
22.4%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.
Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Chorley - Warrington Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Nolan J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Hewitt C. ⚽,
90+11', 1 - 1, Woods C. (Pen),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19).
Chorley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Warrington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Warrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Chorley have a series of guest games.
Recently Warrington have a series of home games.
In this match Chorley is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Chorley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1