Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.62
	4.8	3.8	1.6
	5	3.8	1.64
	5.39	3.8	1.62
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.48	3.74	1.58
	5	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.88)	3.73 ↓ (3.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
18%

Draw
24.8%

Wisła Kraków
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.4%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.4%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kajzer D. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 27. Przybylko K. 44. Markov I. 3. Kielb J. (C) 15. Kopczynski M. 65. Shibata S. 26. Michalski K. 11. Drzazga K. 32. Rajsel N. 9. Firlej M.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 30. Kiakos G. 26. Lasicki I. 4. Mikulec R. 6. Uryga A. (C) 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 13. Kiss T. 17. Alfaro J. 99. Zwolinski L.
Substitutes
2. Bartkowski J. 18. Feliks M. 7. Gaska D. 12. Oleniak B. (G) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 10. Zurawski M.	10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 77. Baena Perez A. 56. Baniowski F. 97. Biedrzycki W. 1. Broda K. (G) 12. Igbekeme J. 51. Kuziemka M. 88. Poletanovic M. 9. Rodado A.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Kielb J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kielb J. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Mikulec R. ⚽, Zwolinski L. (A),
64', Rajsel N. ↓, Tkachuk Y. ↑,
67', Alfaro J. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
67', Carbo M. ↓, Poletanovic M. ↑,
77', Szeliga B. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
77', Firlej M. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
78', Duda K. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
78', Kiss T. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
90', Kopczynski M. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
90+2', Jaroch B. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 4.

Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wisła is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wisła is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Warta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
28.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Super Cup
02.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.05.22	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1
06.12.21	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	1:1
17.04.21	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1
21.11.20	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	2:1
Club Friendly
13.07.12	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	N/A

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