Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.07	3.18	2.41
	3.05	3.19	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.01	3.2	2.29
	3.1	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.71)	3.18 ↑ (3.11)	2.31 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
30.8%

Draw
29.1%

Polonia Warsaw
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 44. Markov I. 3. Kielb J. (C) 7. Gaska D. 5. Tkachuk Y. 10. Zurawski M. 26. Michalski K. 32. Rajsel N. 11. Drzazga K.	96. Kuchta M. (C) 24. Terpilowski E. 2. Grudniewski M. 4. Szur P. 5. Hoxhallari E. 55. Poczobut B. 15. Vega D. 16. Koton K. 19. Vasin N. 99. Durmus I. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
2. Bartkowski J. 18. Feliks M. 9. Firlej M. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 81. Kajzer D. (G) 15. Kopczynski M. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 65. Shibata S. 77. Walus F.	10. Bajdur M. 30. Cisse S. 7. Kluska M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 11. Mlynski M. 22. Olszewski P. 1. Sandach A. (G) 90. Spiewak K. 8. Wojciechowski O.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Gaska D. 🟨,
33', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Durmus I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Markov I. ↓, Plesnierowicz W. ↑,
53', Koton K. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Vasin N. ⚽, Terpilowski E. (A),
59', Gaska D. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
59', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Olszewski P. ↑,
65', Drzazga K. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
68', Kielb J. 🟨,
70', Vega D. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
70', Koton K. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
72', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Plesnierowicz W. ⚽, Szeliga B. (A),
76', Vasin N. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
76', Durmus I. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
81', Rajsel N. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
85', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
89', Grudniewski M. 🟨,
90+2', Michalski K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Polonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
07.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Warta Poznań - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTLT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
09.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
27.02.25	Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
21.02.25	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Arka Gdynia - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
23.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:0
Polish Division 2
18.03.17	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	1:1
24.08.16	Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw	1:0

Upcoming Matches