Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Warta Sieradz		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.60	4.20
	1.64	3.60	4.25
	1.72	3.65	4.19
	1.69	3.71	4.33	Watch
	1.80	3.35	3.60
	1.70	3.81	4.33	Watch
	1.74	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	4.07 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
52.9%

Draw
24.9%

Olimpia Elbląg
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Swedrowski T. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Wierzba D. (Own goal),
45+2', 2 - 1, Joao Criciuma ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Wierzba D. 🟥,
50', 3 - 1, Swedrowski T. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Krecichwost B. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Warta Sieradz is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warta Sieradz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Warta Sieradz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Elbląg - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 24.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:4 ✺
19.08.26	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1
09.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Warta Sieradz	0:2

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