Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Wda Świecie		Kluczevia Stargard

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.70	2.30
	2.50	3.55	2.25
	2.57	3.32	2.37
	2.58	3.49	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.25	2.30
	2.50	3.64	2.47	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	3.51 ↑ (3.41)	2.35 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
36.1%

Draw
25.6%

Kluczevia Stargard
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gawron M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Baranowski P. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Bogusiewicz F. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 4th).

Wda Świecie is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kluczevia Stargard has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kluczevia Stargard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Wda Świecie has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wda Świecie against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19
5	Wda Swiecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Wda Świecie - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Wda Świecie - Grom Nowy Staw	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWWW
- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 AET ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.03.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1
27.08.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Wda Świecie	0:0

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