Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday


	Wealdstone		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.08	3.4	3.2
	2.13	3.4	3.05
	2.13	3.53	3.42
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.08	3.52	3.28
	2.11	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
44%

Draw
27%

Torquay United
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Wealdstone - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wealdstone will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Torquay will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wealdstone: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 0.

Wealdstone is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torquay is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wealdstone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wealdstone won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wealdstone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
13.09.22	Maidstone United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Wealdstone - Woking	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Wealdstone - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Gateshead - Wealdstone	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Wealdstone - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTTWW
- Torquay United
English National League
13.09.22	Torquay United - Solihull Moors	1:4 ✺
03.09.22	Southend United - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Torquay United - Woking	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Torquay United - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.02.22	Wealdstone - Torquay United	1:1
02.10.21	Torquay United - Wealdstone	5:0
09.02.21	Torquay United - Wealdstone	1:1
01.12.20	Wealdstone - Torquay United	1:2
English National League South
30.03.19	Torquay United - Wealdstone	3:2
27.10.18	Wealdstone - Torquay United	0:3

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