The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wealdstone 31.2%
Draw 26.3%
Yeovil Town 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
25.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24.9%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wealdstone's form might have worsened.
Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yeovil Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wealdstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yeovil Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Wealdstone - Yeovil Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Wealdstone will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Yeovil will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 22. McAvoy C. (C) 12. Francis-Clarke A. 32. Kanu A. 4. Wells-Morrison J. 31. Maher R. 20. Oni M. 11. Chesters D. 9. Olomola O. 26. Okenabirhie F. 7. Norris L.
1. Barker J. (G) 12. Davies A. 5. Kingdon J. 16. Radcliffe B. 3. Norville-Williams J. 4. Muller H. 14. McGavin B. (C) 11. Daly J. 10. Jones R. 19. Spasov S. 20. Powell J.
Substitutes
5. Conroy D. 15. Henry A. 13. Johnson E. (G) 29. Kaunda A. 3. Newton J. 27. Newton T. 16. Uchenna C.
6. Ayina L. 18. Dean 22. Gould M. (G) 15. Gubbins J. 27. Lennon C. 7. Obeng M. 9. Walker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Baptiste D. 🟥,
23', Olomola O. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Daly J. ⚽,
45+3', Norville-Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
64', 0 - 2, Powell J. ⚽, Radcliffe B. (A),
65', Spasov S. ↓, Dean O. ↑,
65', Daly J. ↓, Obeng M. ↑,
65', Jones R. ↓, Walker S. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, McGavin B. ⚽,
70', Okenabirhie F. ↓, Conroy D. ↑,
70', Maher R. ↓, Newton J. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, McGavin B. ⚽,
71', Muller H. ↓, Ayina L. ↑,
71', Norville-Williams J. ↓, Gubbins J. ↑,
74', Wells-Morrison J. ↓, Uchenna C. ↑,
74', Kanu A. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, McGavin B. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
90+1', 0 - 6, Powell J. ⚽,
90+3', Francis-Clarke A. 🟥,
90+3', McAvoy C. 🟨,
90+4', Powell J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th and 4th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Wealdstone (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Yeovil shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Wealdstone has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wealdstone against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:8 goals (averaging 0.4:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Yeovil
13
7
4
2
32:15
17
25
19
Wealdstone
13
3
3
7
17:24
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
Wealdstone - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Yeovil Town - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.