Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)


	Southend United		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.4	4.33
	1.85	3.2	4.3
	1.79	3.45	4.2
	1.83	3.45	4.7
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.46	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.13)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.28 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
50.7%

Draw
27.6%

Torquay United
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southend United's performance.

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southend United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Southend United - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Torquay will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Southend: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 1.

Recent matches Southend is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torquay is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Southend is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southend won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
29.08.22	Southend United - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Eastleigh - Southend United	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Southend United - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Halifax Town - Southend United	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Solihull Moors - Southend United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTT
- Torquay United
English National League
29.08.22	Torquay United - Woking	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Torquay United - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
16.08.22	Bromley - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Halifax Town - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.05.22	Southend United - Torquay United	1:1
18.09.21	Torquay United - Southend United	1:0
English League Two
29.03.14	Southend United - Torquay United	1:0
14.12.13	Torquay United - Southend United	1:0
16.03.13	Southend United - Torquay United	1:1
17.11.12	Torquay United - Southend United	1:4
14.04.12	Torquay United - Southend United	N/A

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