Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.6
	1.9	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.9	3.75
	1.93	3.9	3.91
	1.85	3.8	3.4
	1.93	3.85	3.67	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.48)	3.82 ↑ (3.62)	3.68 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
49.4%

Draw
24.8%

Nürnberg
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nürnberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nürnberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	14.3%	10.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 17. Carstens F. 24. Mathisen M. (C) 26. Vukotic A. 9. Goppel T. 7. Heusser R. 19. Jacobsen B. 29. Gunther L. 8. Batzner N. 20. Lee H. 18. Prtajin I.	1. Klaus C. (G) 28. Gyamerah J. (C) 15. Marquez I. 38. Horn J. 27. Brown N. 6. Flick F. 13. Wekesser E. 17. Castrop J. 8. Duman T. 14. Goller B. 20. Andersson S.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 34. Catic A. 6. Fechner G. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 14. Kovacevic F. 1. Lyska A. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 27. Rieble N.	5. Geis J. 3. Gurleyen A. 43. Hofmann J. 19. Hubner F. 23. Hungbo J. 44. Jeltsch F. 46. Kania J. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Fiel C.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Recent matches Wehen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nürnberg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Nürnberg have a series of home games.

Wehen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.24	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hertha Berlin	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Magdeburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Sint-Truidense	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
26.01.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.24	Nürnberg - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.08.23	Nürnberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1
16.06.20	Wehen Wiesbaden - Nürnberg	0:6
30.11.19	Nürnberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2

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