Match Info
Premier League - Round 16Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday
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Welayta Dicha |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3 |
2.52 |
2.62 |
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3.02 |
2.66 |
2.63 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
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2.97 |
2.57 |
2.59 |
Watch |
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3 |
2.62 |
2.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↓
(3.4) |
2.57 ↓
(2.83) |
2.62 ↑
(2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Welayta Dicha
30.4% | Draw
35.1% | Bahir Dar Kenema
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahir Dar Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahir Dar Kenema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 0.Welayta Dicha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).Including home matches between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.2).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 51 |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 12.06.25 | Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:4 | | 03.11.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha | 0:0 | | 17.02.24 | Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 | | 07.07.23 | Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 | | 01.03.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha | 0:0 | | 08.05.22 | Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 | | 10.12.21 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha | 3:1 |
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