Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Welayta Dicha		Bahir Dar Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.55	2.75
	2.75	2.52	2.8
	2.84	2.54	2.81
	2.82	2.61	2.87	Watch
	2.63	2.57	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.31)	2.56 ↓ (2.86)	2.81 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welayta Dicha
32.8%

Draw
35.2%

Bahir Dar Kenema
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

32.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welayta Dicha's form might have worsened.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Tefera A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Tefera A. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Bogale M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Semu B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 1.

Bahir Dar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Welayta Dicha has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 0.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Welayta Dicha against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bahir Dar Kenema	3	2	0	1	4:2	2	6
6	Welayta Dicha	4	1	2	1	8:4	4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Welayta Dicha - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.26	Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Welayta Dicha - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Adama City - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethio Electric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTWL
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.10.26	Halaba Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sidama Coffee	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
16.06.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
16.06.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:2
20.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
12.06.25	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:4
03.11.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:0
17.02.24	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1
07.07.23	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1
01.03.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:0

Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema