The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Welling United 47.4%
Draw 25.2%
Wingate & Finchley 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
24.5%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.9%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welling United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Welling United - Wingate & Finchley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, OโKeefe Z. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Kashket S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Reynolds J. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Kingsford R. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Welling is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wingate & Finchley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Wingate & Finchley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Welling might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Welling won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Welling won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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