Match Info

A-League Women - Round 8

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Jones S. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Sydney FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.12	3.49	3.43
	2.07	3.6	3.32	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.03	3.24	3.33	Watch
	2	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	3.28 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
44.6%

Draw
27.5%

Sydney FC
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 2. Bott C. (C) 7. Jale G. 24. Vlok P. 20. Main E. 9. Bhandari S.	30. Robertson T. (G) 23. Sullivan R. 5. Fenton K. 2. Ayson M. 4. Tumeth T. 32. Galic B. 21. Hunter S. (C) 8. Lowry H. 9. Ulkekul J. 15. Hawkesby M. 13. Tanner R.
Substitutes
28. Bartlett G. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 14. Leon L. 21. Wall L.	26. Caspers M. 7. Cassar A. 19. Halmarick S. 1. Hinz H. (G) 14. Lemon A. 24. Tallon-Henniker C.
Coaches
Priestman B.	Juric A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Elliott M. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Bhandari S. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Jale G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Galic B. ↓, Caspers M. ↑,
46', Hawkesby M. ↓, Tallon-Henniker C. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Jale G. ⚽, Main E. (A),
55', Elliott M. ↓, Wall L. ↑,
56', Vlok P. ↓, Leon L. ↑,
59', Sullivan R. ↓, Lemon A. ↑,
59', Tanner R. ↓, Cassar A. ↑,
60', Main E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Bhandari S. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
70', Lowry H. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
77', Van der Meer M. ↓, Bartlett G. ↑,
77', Nunn B. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
80', 6 - 0, Tumeth T. (Own goal),
90', 7 - 0, Hunter S. (Own goal),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wellington could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
12.12.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTT
- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
10.12.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sydney FC - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
15.03.25	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	2:1
20.12.24	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	2:0
16.03.24	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	2:4
29.12.23	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
10.03.23	Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix	0:1
25.02.23	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	0:1
30.12.21	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	0:5

Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide