Match Info

A-League Women - Round 3

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington)

Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Wellington Phoenix		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.85	3.95	Watch
	1.68	4.51	4.18
	1.99	3.95	3.04	Watch
	1.74	4.12	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.99)	4.11 ↑ (3.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
52.7%

Draw
22.7%

Newcastle Jets
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.

Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. 16. Van der Meer M. 23. Nunn B. 7. Jale G. 24. Vlok P. 2. Bott C. (C) 21. Wall L. 10. Whinham A. 20. Main E.	24. Leat A. (G) 13. Allan L. 2. Wilson J. 4. Prior N. 3. Cicco C. 10. Copus-Brown L. 8. Dundas E. 6. Davis C. (C) 11. Lancaster C. 14. Ayres M. 26. Allan J.
Substitutes
15. Brazendale D. . Brazendale L. 11. Elliott M. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 19. Ingham O. 12. McMillan E.	32. Adams C. 7. Breier I. 44. Brown K. 23. Karipidis Z. 5. Page O. 12. Ritchie G. (G)
Coaches
Priestman B.	Hoyle S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Nunn B. ⚽, Vlok P. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Ayres M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Lancaster C. ↓, Breier I. ↑,
61', Vlok P. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
70', Dundas E. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
70', Whinham A. ↓, Ingham O. ↑,
70', Bott C. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
80', Allan L. ↓, Page O. ↑,
80', Ayres M. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
82', Main E. ↓, Brazendale L. ↑,
86', Barry M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.

In this match, Wellington is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix Women
Australian A-League Women
07.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Wellington Phoenix - Western United	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL
- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
02.11.25	Canberra United - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Western United	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
18.01.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	3:2
16.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
04.02.24	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	3:2
22.12.23	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	2:0
25.03.23	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	3:2
27.12.21	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	0:1
10.12.21	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	5:1

Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide