Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday


	Wels		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.2	1.6
	3.85	4.3	1.62
	3.73	4.5	1.61
	4.46	4.54	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.07)	4.39 ↑ (3.8)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wels
22.8%

Draw
20.7%

SPG Wels
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

23.8%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wels's form might have worsened.

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wels than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Wels - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wels will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). SPG Wels will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SPG Wels: 50.5% – 99.5%.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent matches Wels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

WSC Wels is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

WSC Wels will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
20.05.22	Bad Gleichenberg - Wels	5:2 ✺
13.05.22	Wels - Treibach	5:2 ✺
06.05.22	Kalsdorf - Wels	1:2 ✺
29.04.22	Wels - Union Gurten	2:2 ✺
18.04.22	Wels - Sturm Graz B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWTL
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
20.05.22	SPG Wels - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	3:1 ✺
14.05.22	Wolfsberger AC II - SPG Wels	3:3 ✺
06.05.22	SPG Wels - Deutschlandsberger	4:1 ✺
29.04.22	Allerheiligen - SPG Wels	1:1 ✺
22.04.22	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
09.10.20	SPG Wels - Wels	4:1
04.10.19	Wels - SPG Wels	1:6
06.04.19	SPG Wels - Wels	3:1
25.08.18	Wels - SPG Wels	2:0

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