Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 22

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday


	West Adelaide		Adelaide Victory

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.45	4.75	5
	1.4	4.99	5.2
	1.48	4.87	4.87	Watch
	1.42	4.6	5.71
	1.45	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.85)	4.72 ↑ (4)	5.21 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Adelaide
63.3%

Draw
19.3%

Adelaide Victory
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

21.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Adelaide's performance.

Adelaide Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Adelaide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Victory could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

West Adelaide - Adelaide Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
56', 4 - 0, ⚽,
82', 5 - 0, ⚽,
88', 6 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Adelaide SC
Australian SA State League
03.08.24	Adelaide Vipers - West Adelaide	0:3 ✺
27.07.24	West Adelaide - Fulham United	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Playford City Patriots - West Adelaide	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	West Adelaide - Sturt Lions	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	West Adelaide - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWT
- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
03.08.24	Adelaide Victory - Cumberland United	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Adelaide Vipers - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Cobras	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Fulham United - Adelaide Victory	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Western Strikers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
18.05.24	Adelaide Victory - West Adelaide	1:2

West Adelaide - Adelaide Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide