Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Het Kuipje (Westerlo)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)


	Westerlo		Oostende

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.9	4.1
	1.84	4	3.85
	1.77	3.75	4
	1.83	4.05	4.16
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.74	4	4.25	Watch
	1.81	3.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	4.11 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
52.9%

Draw
24.1%

Oostende
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

Westerlo - Oostende Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Oostende will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group) and 14).

Westerlo has the most likely position - 10 (16.32%), has project points - 47, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oostende has the most likely position - 14 (20.27%), has project points - 36, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 19, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Westerlo won 1.

Westerlo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oostende is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Westerlo is a favorite.

There will not play in Westerlo: Daci E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oostende: Amade A. (Knee Injury) D'Arpino M. (Knee Injury) Dewaele S. (Concussion) Medley Z. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Westerlo: Bernat J. (Knee Injury) Van Eenoo L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Westerlo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Westerlo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Westerlo - Genk	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.11.22	Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Westerlo - Sint-Truidense	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Kortrijk - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Genk - Westerlo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWL
- KV Oostende
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Thes Sport - Oostende	1:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.11.22	Oostende - Kortrijk	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Club Brugge - Oostende	4:2 ✺
23.10.22	Oostende - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
20.10.22	Royal Antwerp - Oostende	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.05.19	Oostende - Westerlo	0:3
20.04.19	Westerlo - Oostende	0:0
25.02.17	Westerlo - Oostende	0:4
19.11.16	Oostende - Westerlo	5:0
29.11.15	Westerlo - Oostende	0:1
01.08.15	Oostende - Westerlo	2:1
25.04.15	Westerlo - Oostende	1:2

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