The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genk 66.9%
Draw 18.8%
Westerlo 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
23.6%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
24%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk's performance.
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Genk - Westerlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 11. Erenbjerg J. 30. Yokoyama A. 17. Durosinmi R.
99. Jungdal A. (C) 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 5. Kimura S. 6. Munz R. 28. Ourega D. 20. Congreve C. 14. Sandra C. 45. Fofana I. 7. Saito S. 9. Bassette N. 13. Sakamoto I.
Substitutes
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 86. Haroun K. 38. Heymans D. 26. Lawal T. (G) 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 84. Sarfo E. 24. Sattlberger N.
2. Flo L. 17. Jochem D. 12. Laalaoui R. 4. Lapage A. 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 24. Ndembi M. 10. Patrao A. 39. Van den Keybus T. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Thorup J.
Charai I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ourega D. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
8', Durosinmi R. 🟨,
13', 0 - 2, Smets M. (Own goal),
36', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Durosinmi R. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 2, Heynen B. ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Congreve C. 🟨,
66', Congreve C. ↓, Laalaoui R. ↑,
66', Bassette N. ↓, Jochem D. ↑,
70', Durosinmi R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
71', Mbamba-Muanda L. ↓, Flo L. ↑,
74', Laalaoui R. 🟨,
75', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Haroun K. ↑,
76', Bangoura I. ↓, Heymans D. ↑,
77', Jochem D. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Bibout A. ⚽,
83', Heynen B. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
85', Fofana I. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
85', Munz R. ↓, Lapage A. ↑,
87', Haroun K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 4.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.
In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
There will not play in Genk: Nkuba K.
(Knee Injury)
Palacios A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Westerlo: Haspolat D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Westerlo: Munz R.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Genk won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Genk
8
3
3
2
16:12
4
12
10
Westerlo
7
3
1
3
15:16
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Genk - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.