Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Netherlands	Sporza


	Kortrijk		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.1
	3.15	3.65	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.66	2.13
	3.32	3.73	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.3	3.81	2.08	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	2.11 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
29.2%

Draw
25.9%

Westerlo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Kortrijk - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Westerlo will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kortrijk: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ilic M. (G) 27. Sissako A. 93. Duverne J. 26. Lagae B. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 8. Dermane K. 10. Kadri A. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 16. Dejaegere B. (C) 18. Kostons K. 19. Nacho	99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 44. Vuskovic L. 25. Rommens T. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 5. Bos J. 13. Sakamoto I. 10. Devine A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 19. Slimani I.
Substitutes
68. Ambrose T. 17. Bruno M. 9. Czubak K. 11. De Neve D. 20. Dewaele G. 32. Gueye M. 4. Mampassi M. 5. Ndjeungoue J. 95. Pirard L. (G)	77. Alcocer J. 4. Fixelles M. 9. Frigan M. 33. Neustadter R. 17. Smekens R. 15. Sydorchuk S. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G) 18. Yow G.
Coaches
Vanderhaeghe Y.	Simons T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Duverne J. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
32', Kostons K. ↓, Dewaele G. ↑,
33', Lagae B. 🟨,
36', Reynolds B. 🟨,
44', Bayram E. 🟨,
45+2', Slimani I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Yow G. ↑,
63', Bayram E. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Bos J. ⚽, Sakamoto I. (A),
68', Nacho ↓, Czubak K. ↑,
70', Kadri A. 🟨,
77', Slimani I. ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
82', Dermane K. ↓, Ambrose T. ↑,
82', Dejaegere B. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
82', Kadri A. 🟨,
86', Devine A. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Frigan M. ⚽, Yow G. (A),
90', Frigan M. 🟨,
90+2', Sakamoto I. ↓, Neustadter R. ↑,
90+4', Ilaimaharitra M. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 0.

Kortrijk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Westerlo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Westerlo will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Kortrijk: El Idrissy M. (Yellow Cards) Fujii H. (Shin Injury) Tsunoda R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Gunnarsson P. (Knock)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:21 (average 1.5:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kortrijk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.25	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
10.01.25	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Kortrijk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLLT
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.25	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Royal Antwerp - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Westerlo - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Club Brugge - Westerlo	4:3 ✺
20.12.24	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	Westerlo - Kortrijk	4:0
08.12.23	Kortrijk - Westerlo	1:2
07.10.23	Westerlo - Kortrijk	1:0
11.03.23	Westerlo - Kortrijk	3:1
22.10.22	Kortrijk - Westerlo	0:2
26.12.16	Westerlo - Kortrijk	4:1
10.09.16	Kortrijk - Westerlo	4:1

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