The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oostende 42.7%
Draw 26.8%
Kortrijk 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
26.4%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
25.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.2%
25%
20.8%
Oostende - Kortrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Kortrijk will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oostende: 34.3% โ 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).
Oostende has the most likely position - 15 (16.55%), has project points - 34, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kortrijk has the most likely position - 17 (17.73%), has project points - 31, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality31, importance54, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 1.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Oostende could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Oostende will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Oostende: Amade A.
(Injury)
D'Arpino M.
(Knee Injury)
Dewaele S.
(Injury)
Medley Z.
(Injury)
Schelfhout J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kortrijk: De Bruyn A.
(Injury)
Kadri A.
(Knee Injury)
Osabutey J.
(Abdominal strain)
Last 22 head-to-head matches Oostende won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 30-40.
Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-25.