Match Info

USL League Two

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Western Mass Pioneers		Vermont Green

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.20	1.55
	3.95	4.10	1.62
	4.49	4.65	1.51
	4.38	4.51	1.57	Watch
	4.45	4.60	1.46
	5.06	4.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.37)	4.45 ↑ (4.24)	1.53 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Mass Pioneers
20.4%

Draw
20.3%

Vermont Green
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

21.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

20.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Mass Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Mass Pioneers's form might have worsened.

Vermont Green has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vermont Green's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Mass Pioneers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Mass Pioneers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vermont Green than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vermont Green, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Mass Pioneers - Vermont Green Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

Western Pioneers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vermont Green is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vermont Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vermont Green has had a series of away games.

Vermont Green will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Pioneers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Pioneers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Mass Pioneers
USL League Two
07.07.26	AC Connecticut - Western Mass Pioneers	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Western Mass Pioneers - Black Rock	1:1 ✺
30.06.26	Boston Bolts - Western Mass Pioneers	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Western Mass Pioneers - AC Connecticut	1:0 ✺
19.06.26	Western Mass Pioneers - Boston Bolts	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWT
- Vermont Green FC
USL League Two
07.07.26	Vermont Green - Connecticut Rush	6:2 ✺
01.07.26	New England FC - Vermont Green	0:4 ✺
23.06.26	Boston City - Vermont Green	1:4 ✺
10.06.26	AC Connecticut - Vermont Green	1:4 ✺
27.05.26	Black Rock - Vermont Green	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League Two
11.07.25	Western Mass Pioneers - Vermont Green	2:2
17.06.25	Vermont Green - Western Mass Pioneers	2:0
07.07.23	Western Mass Pioneers - Vermont Green	1:0
17.06.23	Vermont Green - Western Mass Pioneers	0:1
25.06.22	Western Mass Pioneers - Vermont Green	3:2

Western Mass Pioneers - Vermont Green: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide