Match Info

Date: 30 June 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Western Stima		Sofapaka

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.15	2.85	2.27
	3.26	2.88	2.31
	3.1	2.75	2.35
	3.1	3.08	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	2.89 ↓ (2.99)	2.3 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Stima
29.1%

Draw
31.4%

Sofapaka
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

22%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Stima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Stima than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Stima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sofapaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 15 and 13).

Western Stima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sofapaka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Western Stima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Western Stima have a series of guest games.

Sofapaka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Western Stima won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Western Stima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Stima
Kenyan Premier League
26.06.21	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	1:2 ✺
23.06.21	Tusker - Western Stima	2:1 ✺
15.06.21	Nairobi City Stars - Western Stima	2:1 ✺
28.05.21	Western Stima - Bandari	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Western Stima	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLLTL
- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
25.06.21	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	0:0 ✺
20.06.21	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
16.06.21	Sofapaka - AFC Leopards	2:2 ✺
29.05.21	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:1 ✺
24.05.21	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
06.12.20	Sofapaka - Western Stima	3:1
01.12.19	Western Stima - Sofapaka	1:1
08.05.19	Sofapaka - Western Stima	2:0
02.01.19	Western Stima - Sofapaka	1:1
22.10.17	Sofapaka - Western Stima	1:3
26.03.17	Western Stima - Sofapaka	1:3
02.07.16	Sofapaka - Western Stima	1:2

Western Stima - Sofapaka

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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