Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Kenya CB		Sofapaka

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.78	3.35
	2.23	2.77	3.54
	2.24	2.72	3.57	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.5
	2.26	2.83	3.5
	2.2	2.71	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.91)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.49 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
40.8%

Draw
33.2%

Sofapaka
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

31.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kenya CB's form might have worsened.

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kenya CB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Kenya CB - Sofapaka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KCB won 1.

In recent matches, KCB has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sofapaka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KCB has had a series of away games.

In this match, KCB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, KCB won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Kenya CB - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bandari - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTTL
- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
29.11.25	Sofapaka - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Bandari - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.02.25	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	2:0
12.12.24	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0
03.02.24	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	2:1
01.11.23	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:3
08.02.23	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	0:1
05.03.22	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	0:0
24.10.21	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	1:2

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