Match Info
Premier League - Round 18Date: 25 January 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
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Sofapaka |
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AFC Leopards |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.8 |
2.68 |
2.1 |
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3.72 |
2.85 |
2.08 |
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3.87 |
2.68 |
2.17 |
 Watch |
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3.8 |
2.63 |
2.05 |
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3.82 |
2.75 |
2.1 |
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3.66 |
2.85 |
2.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(3.67) |
2.74 ↓
(2.87) |
2.09 ↑
(2.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sofapaka
23.9% | Draw
32.9% | AFC Leopards
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Sofapaka - AFC Leopards Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.Sofapaka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Leopards is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Leopards might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
AFC Leopards - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 20.09.25 | AFC Leopards - Sofapaka | 1:1 | | 19.02.25 | AFC Leopards - Sofapaka | 0:0 | | 15.12.24 | Sofapaka - AFC Leopards | 1:1 | | 07.04.24 | AFC Leopards - Sofapaka | 1:1 | | 25.11.23 | Sofapaka - AFC Leopards | 1:1 | | 12.12.22 | Sofapaka - AFC Leopards | 1:1 | | 13.03.22 | AFC Leopards - Sofapaka | 1:1 |
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