Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 8

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Williams C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:45	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong Kong	16:45	HOY TV
New Zealand	21:45	Sky Sport 2
United Kingdom	08:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	03:45	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.15
	2.65	3.75	2.19
	2.38	3.85	2.38
	2.74	3.87	2.27	Watch
	2.62	3.7	2.25
	2.65	3.78	2.19	Watch
	2.65	3.75	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.07)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	2.23 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
35%

Draw
24.1%

Brisbane Roar
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

24.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Western United - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Brisbane Roar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Lincoln C. (G) 8. Grove S. 22. Cerne A. 18. Maher G. 24. Sardo J. 2. Roach E. 5. Medwin A. 16. Taranto M. 6. Logarzo C. (C) 20. Hieda K. 10. Johnson K.	33. Sekany O. (G) 6. McQueen H. 2. Varley L. 16. Blissett C. 3. De la Harpe D. 7. Hayashi M. 32. Woods A. 11. Freier S. 13. Yallop T. (C) 10. Kuilamu G. 19. Freier L.
Substitutes
1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 28. Dehakiz I. 4. Mihocic C. 34. Zimmerman C.	14. Kruger Z. 12. Levin T. 8. Mariel Hecher 18. Pringle E. 1. Richards K. (G)
Coaches
Smith K.	Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
9', 0 - 1, Freier S. ⚽, Freier L. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Hayashi M. ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Freier L. ⚽, Freier S. (A),
30', 1 - 3, Logarzo C. (Pen),
32', 1 - 4, Varley L. ⚽, Blissett C. (A),
45+3', 1 - 5, Freier L. ⚽, Blissett C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Hieda K. ↓, Zimmerman C. ↑,
49', Logarzo C. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
53', 1 - 6, Freier S. ⚽, Blissett C. (A),
56', Varley L. ↓, Kruger Z. ↑,
61', 1 - 7, Freier L. ⚽,
63', Kuilamu G. ↓, Mariel Hecher ↑,
63', Freier S. ↓, Pringle E. ↑,
66', Freier L. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
67', Roach E. ↓, Dehakiz I. ↑,
67', Medwin A. ↓, Mihocic C. ↑,
70', 1 - 8, Yallop T. ⚽, Hayashi M. (A),
73', 2 - 8, McQueen H. (Own goal),
82', Cerne A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
22.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Western United - Sydney FC	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Western United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL
- Brisbane Roar Women
Australian A-League Women
21.12.24	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	1:6 ✺
15.12.24	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	0:4 ✺
15.11.24	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
11.02.24	Western United - Brisbane Roar	3:2
19.11.23	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:1
10.03.23	Brisbane Roar - Western United	2:0
20.01.23	Western United - Brisbane Roar	2:0

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