Match Info

A-League Women - Round 15

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Spencer Park (Brisbane)

Referee: Allum S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	1.88	3.6	3.3
	2.02	4.01	3.32
	1.88	4.13	3.47	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.96	3.81	3.38	Watch
	1.81	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)	3.75 ↑ (3.47)	3.27 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
47.3%

Draw
24.5%

Central Coast Mariners
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+2%)

Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Brisbane Roar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lincoln C. (G) 27. Miller A. 5. Medwin A. 2. Varley L. 11. Seidl M. 32. Woods A. 8. Studer J. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 24. Freier S. 3. Brown D. 17. Jansen B.	15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 10. Levin T. 14. Kraszula G. 6. Gomez I. 7. Prakash A. 22. Trimis P. 11. Rasmussen A.
Substitutes
6. Cuthbert R. 12. Franco T. (G) 18. Kinsella A. 15. Meyers K. 22. Piazza A. 4. Stephenson K.	13. Buchanan K. 9. Farrow M. 12. Fuller T. 16. Quilligan T. 4. Thew B. 30. Varley S. (G)
Coaches
Smith A.	Babington K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Miller A. ⚽, Jansen B. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Rasmussen A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Baumann L. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
75', Prakash A. ↓, Quilligan T. ↑,
76', Miller A. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
79', Woods A. 🟨,
80', Levin T. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
87', Medwin A. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
89', Martin A. 🟨,
90+1', Freier S. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
90+7', Gomez I. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Brisbane Roar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brisbane Roar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar Women
Australian A-League Women
23.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTTWT
- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	3:2
30.03.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	2:1
15.12.24	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:1
09.03.24	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
11.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:1

Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide