Match Info

A-League Women - Round 21

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: No. 2 Sportsground (Newcastle)

Referee: Mitchenson R. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Newcastle Jets		Western United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.05
	2.85	3.75	2.08
	2.89	4.09	2.11	Watch
	2.88	3.82	2.04	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.91)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
32.1%

Draw
23.9%

Western United
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

24.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Newcastle Jets aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Newcastle Jets - Western United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzyzaniak D. (G) 13. Allan L. 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 2. Wilson J. 22. Baumann L. 18. Hoban S. 8. Dundas E. 6. Davis C. 11. Jackson D. 10. Copus-Brown L.	36. Lincoln C. (G) 5. Medwin A. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 28. Dehakiz I. 6. Logarzo C. 9. Eggesvik S. 20. Hieda K. 34. Zimmerman C. 15. Taranto A.
Substitutes
7. Breier I. 17. Gallagher S. 24. Hammond M. 30. Robertson T. (G) 23. Vicari G.	1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 11. Ibarguen S. 24. Sardo J. 16. Taranto M.
Coaches
Campbell R.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Zimmerman C. ⚽,
66', Prior N. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
73', Taranto A. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Hieda K. ⚽, Zimmerman C. (A),
79', Hieda K. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
80', Dehakiz I. ↓, Taranto M. ↑,
85', Jackson D. ↓, Breier I. ↑,
88', Gallagher S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle Jets won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Newcastle Jets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Western United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 2.1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle Jets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:9 (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
21.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	4:3 ✺
16.03.25	Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Sydney FC	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWWL
- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
14.03.25	Western United - Canberra United	4:3 ✺
07.03.25	Perth Glory - Western United	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sydney FC - Western United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
03.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:0
23.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:1
13.04.24	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:4 ET
17.03.24	Western United - Newcastle Jets	1:3
17.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	5:2
26.02.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	0:6
08.02.23	Western United - Newcastle Jets	0:2

Newcastle Jets - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide