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Current Win Probability
Wellington Phoenix 50%
Draw 23.8%
Brisbane Roar 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
22.2%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
23.1%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Esson V. (G) 5. Walker E. 4. Barry M. (C) 16. Van der Meer M. 11. Elliott M. 23. Nunn B. 32. Pijnenburg E. 7. Jale G. 14. Leon L. 31. Woods M. 24. Vlok P.
1. Lincoln C. (G) 8. Studer J. 4. Stephenson K. 2. Beard A. 5. Medwin A. 7. Hayashi M. (C) 32. Woods A. 11. Seidl M. 17. Jansen B. 3. Brown D. 27. Miller A.
Substitutes
30. Anthony M. 27. Benson Z. 15. Brazendale D. 22. Feinberg-Danieli A. (G) 8. Fraser M. 3. Jaber T. 21. Wall L.
12. Franco T. (G) 47. Hanson K. 18. Kinsella A. 14. Kruger Z. 15. Meyers K. 22. Piazza A. 13. Yallop T.
Coaches
Priestman B.
Smith A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Woods M. ⚽, Vlok P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stephenson K. ↓, Yallop T. ↑,
61', Studer J. 🟨,
67', Leon L. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
74', Hayashi M. ↓, Kruger Z. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
101', Yallop T. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
102', 2 - 0, Woods M. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
106', Vlok P. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
106', Woods M. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
106', Jansen B. ↓, Hanson K. ↑,
111', Kruger Z. 🟨,
116', Esson V. 🟨,
120+1', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brisbane Roar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.
Recently, Brisbane Roar has had a series of home games.
In this match, Wellington is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
Australia
New-zealand
United-kingdom
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Esson V. (G) 
Walker E. 
Nunn B. 
Leon L. 
Lincoln C. (G) 
Beard A. 
Hayashi M. (C) 
Jansen B. 
Priestman B. 
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