Match Info
Victoria Premier League - Round 12Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday
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Western United U21 |
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North Geelong Warriors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.98 |
3.9 |
2.75 |
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 |
1.98 |
4.15 |
2.78 |
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2.01 |
4.22 |
2.83 |
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2 |
4.3 |
2.83 |
 Watch |
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1.95 |
4 |
2.75 |
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2.01 |
4.46 |
2.78 |
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2.28 |
3.6 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.33) |
4.09 ↑
(3.8) |
2.74 ↑
(2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Western United U21
44.7% | Draw
22.2% | North Geelong Warriors
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United U21's performance.North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United U21 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).Western United U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).North Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Western United U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Western United U21 might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Western United U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.Including home match between the teams, Western United U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | North Geelong | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 28 |
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| 11 | Western Utd. U21 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 44:59 | -15 | 25 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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