Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chelmsford City		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.2	2.45
	2.71	3.4	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.72	3.4	2.46
	2.71	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.46)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
34%

Draw
28.3%

Weston-super-Mare
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-2%)

Chelmsford City - Weston super Mare Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Weston-super-Mare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Taylor L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Weston-super-Mare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18:11	7	18
14	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	3	18

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 4.98% Weston-super-Mare: 1.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
29.12.25	Chelmsford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Enfield Town - Chelmsford City	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Weston-super-Mare
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English National League South
03.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2
English National League South
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0
15.03.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
24.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	2:0
29.01.24	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
07.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:3
16.03.19	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	2:2

Upcoming Matches