Match Info

Australian Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Leichhardt Oval (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand
Hong-kong	HOY TV


	Wests APIA		Marconi Stallions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.06	3.68	3.19	Watch
	1.69	3.82	4.7	Watch
	1.76	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)	3.75 (3.75)	4.07 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wests APIA
51.5%

Draw
25.2%

Marconi Stallions
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wests APIA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wests APIA's performance.

Marconi Stallions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marconi Stallions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wests APIA than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wests APIA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marconi Stallions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wests APIA - Marconi Stallions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Wests APIA (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Wests APIA (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wests APIA (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
120+4', 🟥,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
8, (Pen),
8, (Pen),
9, (Pen),
9, (Pen),
10, (Pen),
10, (Pen),

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Wests APIA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wests APIA
Australian Championship
16.11.25	Wests APIA - Bayswater City	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sydney United - Wests APIA	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Wests APIA - North Eastern MetroStars	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Bayswater City - Wests APIA	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Wests APIA - Sydney United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW
- Marconi Stallions
Australian Championship
14.11.25	Wollongong Wolves - Marconi Stallions	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	South Hobart - Marconi Stallions	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Marconi Stallions - Heidelberg United	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Marconi Stallions - Wollongong Wolves	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Marconi Stallions - South Hobart	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wests APIA
Australian Championship
23.10.26	Adelaide City - Wests APIA	✺
- Marconi Stallions
Australian Championship
24.10.26	Marconi Stallions - Oakleigh Cannons	✺

Wests APIA - Marconi Stallions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide