The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wexford 42.9%
Draw 26.6%
Athlone Town 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
25.3%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
23.5%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wexford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wexford's form might have worsened.
Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Wexford - Athlone Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Martin P. (G) 2. Murphy M. 5. McCourt R. 10. Harnett K. 26. Dignam K. 6. Bartley R. 7. Rowe M. (C) 11. Wynne J. 19. Hodgins G. 15. Ritchie R. 33. Doyle J.
1. Clarke B. (C) 5. O'Connor E. 7. Connolly D. 10. Lyons R. 27. Crawford J. 8. Connolly A. 11. McManus B. 12. Brennan S. 24. Cleary C. 9. Ferry P. 14. Lomboto G.
Substitutes
8. Abada Z. 34. Dobbyn A. 14. Doyle L. 1. Moody A. (G) 18. Norval A. 9. O'Sullivan Z. 17. Tetteh G. 22. Vance B. 4. Verdon A.
36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 18. Grogan P. 35. Kavanagh D. 16. Lawless Z. 19. Smith W. 13. Trainor A. (G) 34. Zalewski J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Dignam K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Ferry P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Connolly D. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
55', Connolly A. ↓, Considine T. ↑,
58', Ferry P. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
58', Lyons R. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
65', Hodgins G. ↓, Tetteh G. ↑,
66', McCourt R. ↓, Butler R. ↑,
67', Martin P. 🟨,
74', Murphy M. 🟥,
76', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
85', Ritchie R. ↓, O'Sullivan Z. ↑,
85', Doyle J. ↓, Vance B. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Cleary C. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 2.
Wexford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Athlone Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Athlone Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Wexford has had a series of away games.
Wexford could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wexford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
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Martin P. (G) 
Lyons R. 
Doyle L. 
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