Match Info

Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Athlone Town Stadium (Athlone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Athlone Town		Longford Town

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.3	3.25	2.88
	2.3	3.44	3.07
	2.29	3.23	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3
	2.35	3.39	2.87
	2.24	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
40.1%

Draw
28.2%

Longford Town
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Athlone Town - Longford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athlone Town will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Longford will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clarke B. (G) 2. O'Connor K. 5. O'Connor E. 29. Kehir J. 8. Connolly A. 12. Brennan S. 11. McManus B. 14. Lomboto G. 27. Crawford J. 19. Smith W. 18. Grogan P.	1. Moore K. (G) 4. McKenna D. 12. Omorehiomwan C. 5. McCarthy T. 21. Hough J. 8. Manuel P. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 28. Moore S. 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D. 15. Murtagh D.
Substitutes
36. Ayinde A. 24. Cleary C. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 9. Ferry P. 35. Kavanagh D. 10. Lyons R. 21. Tollett C. 13. Trainor A. (G)	6. Adenekan S. 16. Bailey J. 18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 3. Byrne A. 24. Dawson R. 11. Harris M. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Smith W. ⚽,
32', Williams D. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 2 - 0, Lomboto G. ⚽,
45+1', McKenna D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', McCarthy T. 🟨,
57', Grogan P. (Penalty Awarded),
60', McKenna D. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
60', Manuel P. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
70', Smith W. ↓, Tollett C. ↑,
70', Grogan P. ↓, Lyons R. ↑,
73', Williams D. ↓, Dawson R. ↑,
73', Paraschiv A. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
73', Moore S. ↓, Adenekan S. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Ugbesia S. ⚽,
81', Kehir J. 🟨,
87', Adenekan S. 🟨,
87', Lomboto G. ↓, Cleary C. ↑,
90+1', McManus B. 🟨,
90+1', O'Brien A. 🟨,
90+5', Connolly A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 1.

In recent matches, Athlone Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Longford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Athlone Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Longford	34	13	9	12	47:45	2	48
7	Athlone	34	13	9	12	41:40	1	48

Last Results with these Odds

Athlone Town - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Longford Town - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
03.08.26	Cork City - Athlone Town	3:2 ✺
31.07.26	Athlone Town - University College Dublin	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.07.26	Athlone Town - Midleton	3:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWW
- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
03.08.26	Longford Town - Finn Harps	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Longford Town - Wexford	1:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.26	Baldoyle United - Longford Town	0:8 ✺
Irish Division 1
10.07.26	Cork City - Longford Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.05.26	Longford Town - Athlone Town	1:1
06.04.26	Athlone Town - Longford Town	2:0
17.10.25	Athlone Town - Longford Town	1:2
23.06.25	Longford Town - Athlone Town	3:2
21.04.25	Athlone Town - Longford Town	1:1
01.03.25	Longford Town - Athlone Town	1:1
05.10.24	Longford Town - Athlone Town	1:1

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