Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.85	3.2
	1.87	3.99	3.31
	1.9	3.76	3.26
	2.17	3.7	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	3.12 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
46.9%

Draw
23.9%

Tiverton Town
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

23.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Weymouth - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Douglas K. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Bearwish T. ⚽,
14', 3 - 0, Bearwish T. ⚽,
31', 3 - 1, Jagger Cane L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 4 - 1, Cook L. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Weymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Weymouth might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Weymouth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Weymouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Weymouth - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Weymouth - Gloucester City	0:3 ✺
10.09.25	Taunton Town - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Weymouth - Hanwell Town	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Wimborne Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Tiverton Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Tiverton Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tiverton Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.01.19	Weymouth - Tiverton Town	2:1
16.10.18	Tiverton Town - Weymouth	1:2
English Southern Premier League
14.11.17	Weymouth - Tiverton Town	2:0
12.09.17	Tiverton Town - Weymouth	2:0

Weymouth - Tiverton Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide