Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.5	2.02
	3.06	3.66	2.06
	3.05	3.48	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.58)	3.55 ↑ (3.49)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
30%

Draw
25.6%

Gloucester City
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.8%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weymouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Weymouth - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Watts E. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Morgan B. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Obieri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Weymouth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gloucester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Weymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gloucester might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
10.09.25	Taunton Town - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Weymouth - Hanwell Town	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Wimborne Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Weymouth - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Sholing - Weymouth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLTL
- Gloucester City
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWL

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