Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby) 🌤️ ...


	Whitby Town		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.00
	3.35	3.15	1.93
	3.18	3.62	2.00
	3.23	3.71	2.04	Watch
	3.10	3.55	1.98
	3.23	3.40	2.01
	3.15	3.30	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	3.43 ↑ (3.05)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
28.3%

Draw
26.3%

Alfreton Town
45.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Whitby Town - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Youmbi D. ⚽,
42', Hewitt S. 🟥,
45+2', 0 - 2, Ligendza S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, Parker S. R. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Phuthi J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 4, Ligendza S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alfreton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Alfreton	15	6	2	7	21:17	4	20
13	Whitby	15	6	1	8	22:37	-15	19

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Alfreton: 1.84% Whitby: 0.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Alfreton Town - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Quorn - Whitby Town	3:6 ✺
25.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Ashton United - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- Alfreton Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Alfreton Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Alfreton Town - Hyde United	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alfreton Town - Avro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW

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