Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Whitby Town		Nantwich Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.99	3.25	3.35
	2.1	3.57	3.18
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	2.08	3.38	3.24
	2.15	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
45%

Draw
27.3%

Nantwich Town
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Whitby Town - Nantwich Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitby won 2.

Recent matches Whitby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantwich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nantwich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Whitby will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Whitby won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.01.23	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	South Shields - Whitby Town	4:2 ✺
06.12.22	Whitby Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Liversedge - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTW
- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
24.01.23	Nantwich Town - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Nantwich Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:4 ✺
14.01.23	Belper Town - Nantwich Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	Guiseley - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Nantwich Town - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.09.22	Nantwich Town - Whitby Town	0:2
05.03.22	Nantwich Town - Whitby Town	1:0
English FA Trophy
30.11.21	Whitby Town - Nantwich Town	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
21.08.21	Whitby Town - Nantwich Town	2:0
02.11.19	Whitby Town - Nantwich Town	3:3
01.12.18	Whitby Town - Nantwich Town	0:1
15.09.18	Nantwich Town - Whitby Town	4:1

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