Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday


	Nantwich Town		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.8	3.55	2
	3.15	3.3	2.05
	3.17	3.66	2.04
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.18	3.46	2.07
	3.2	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.24)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	2.04 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nantwich Town
29.2%

Draw
26.5%

United of Manchester
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

23.9%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantwich Town's form might have worsened.

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting United of Manchester's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantwich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United of Manchester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nantwich Town - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 2.

Nantwich in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.01.23	Nantwich Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:4 ✺
14.01.23	Belper Town - Nantwich Town	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	Guiseley - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Nantwich Town - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Stafford Rangers - Nantwich Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
14.01.23	United of Manchester - Hyde United	4:4 ✺
07.01.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
02.01.23	Radcliffe - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
26.12.22	United of Manchester - Ashton United	4:0 ✺
03.12.22	United of Manchester - Belper Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.08.22	United of Manchester - Nantwich Town	0:0
12.03.22	Nantwich Town - United of Manchester	2:0
09.10.21	United of Manchester - Nantwich Town	0:2
19.09.20	United of Manchester - Nantwich Town	1:1
25.02.20	Nantwich Town - United of Manchester	0:1
18.01.15	United of Manchester - Nantwich Town	2:1
11.10.14	Nantwich Town - United of Manchester	1:2

Upcoming Matches