Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.3	2.42
	2.36	3.37	2.63
	2.21	3.48	2.96	Watch
	2.56	3.34	2.39
	2.2	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.21)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.66 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
38.5%

Draw
27.1%

Rushall Olympic
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Charles J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Woods M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Ryley K. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Smith C. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 1.

In recent matches, Whitby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rushall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rushall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Whitby has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.99%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Rushall Olympic - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Whitby Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ashton United - Whitby Town	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.25	Whitby Town - Prescot Cables	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLT
- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	United of Manchester - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rushall Olympic - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bamber Bridge - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Rushall Olympic - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Rushall Olympic - Hyde United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.04.18	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	2:3
20.01.18	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	3:3
11.03.17	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	1:0
03.12.16	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	1:0
27.02.16	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	1:3
17.10.15	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	3:1
31.01.15	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	2:1

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