Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.82	3.6	3.55
	1.8	3.87	3.69
	2.91	3.53	2.23	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.9	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.56 ↑ (3.44)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
46.1%

Draw
26.1%

Whitby Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ilkeston - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Haswell A. ⚽,
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1.

Recent performances by Ilkeston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Whitby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ilkeston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ilkeston - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ilkeston - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	5:2 ✺
19.08.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
12.08.25	Whitby Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.12.24	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	0:0
07.09.24	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	5:1
01.01.24	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	3:0
28.08.23	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	2:4
26.11.16	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	0:0
13.09.16	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	2:1
04.04.16	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	2:1

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