Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.52
	2.22	4.01	2.67
	1.50	4.05	5.80	Watch
	2.26	3.79	2.77
	2.1	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.74)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	3.36 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
46.2%

Draw
25.3%

Carshalton Athletic
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.8%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Whitehawk's performance.

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carshalton Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Whitehawk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carshalton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lambert C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Bridle H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitehawk won 2.

Whitehawk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Carshalton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Whitehawk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitehawk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Whitehawk - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.09.25	Hashtag United - Whitehawk	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Whitehawk - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Whitehawk - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Folkestone Invicta - Whitehawk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.09.25	Carshalton Athletic - Welling United	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
13.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2
06.04.24	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
16.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:1
26.01.19	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
12.11.18	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:0

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