Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Burgess Hill Town		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.38
	2.38	4.01	2.41
	2.40	3.43	2.64	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.41
	2.25	3.6	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	2.51 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
38.7%

Draw
24.9%

Carshalton Athletic
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4%)

Burgess Hill Town - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carshalton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Carshalton (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carshalton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Vorster G. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Ladapo T. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Box M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
81', 2 - 2, Korboa R. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Ladapo T. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, Salami K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Farnham Town	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Cheshunt - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Brentwood Town - Burgess Hill Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Brentwood Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.04.19	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	2:0
08.12.18	Burgess Hill Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:2

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