Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	5	4	1.55
	4.84	4.29	1.58
	4.85	4.29	1.58
	4.33	3.75	1.6
	5.19	3.92	1.54
	5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.79)	4.02 ↑ (3.75)	1.56 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
18.8%

Draw
22.7%

Hornchurch
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Whitehawk's form might have worsened.

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, Sutton R. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Nash L. ⚽,
19', 0 - 3, Akinwande F. ⚽,
26', 0 - 4, Nash L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Whitehawk have a series of guest games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Whitehawk won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitehawk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Kingstonian - Whitehawk	1:4 ✺
09.03.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Whitehawk	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Whitehawk - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Hashtag United - Whitehawk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTWT
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.03.24	Hastings United - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hornchurch - Billericay Town	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Concord Rangers - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Hornchurch - Haringey Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.23	Hornchurch - Whitehawk	0:0
13.04.19	Hornchurch - Whitehawk	1:2
01.12.18	Whitehawk - Hornchurch	1:1

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