Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.68
	4.24	4.09	1.67
	4.24	4.09	1.67
	4.4	3.8	1.65
	4.2	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.53)	3.9 ↑ (3.8)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
21.5%

Draw
23.5%

Hornchurch
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1.

Recent matches Bognor Regis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hornchurch is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.02.24	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Kingstonian - Bognor Regis Town	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Haringey Borough - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Bognor Regis Town - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.02.24	Concord Rangers - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Hornchurch - Haringey Borough	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Hornchurch - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
30.01.24	Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.23	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	4:1
21.02.23	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	1:0
13.08.22	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:0
02.04.22	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	3:3
27.11.21	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:2
30.11.19	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	0:0
09.02.19	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	2:0

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