Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Hastings United		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	4.75	4	1.57	Watch
	5.09	4.25	1.62
	4.54	4.25	1.62
	4.8	3.9	1.5
	4.85	3.94	1.57
	4.75	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.62)	4.03 ↑ (3.65)	1.57 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hastings United
19.2%

Draw
22.7%

Hornchurch
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hastings United's form might have worsened.

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Hastings United - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: Hornchurch will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', Fagg T. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Hastings is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hornchurch is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hastings could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hastings have a series of home games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.03.24	Hastings United - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Hastings United - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Hastings United - Lewes	1:3 ✺
06.02.24	Hastings United - Horsham	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Kingstonian - Hastings United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.03.24	Hornchurch - Billericay Town	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Concord Rangers - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Hornchurch - Haringey Borough	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.23	Hornchurch - Hastings United	4:1
07.01.23	Hastings United - Hornchurch	0:3
20.08.22	Hornchurch - Hastings United	3:0

Upcoming Matches