Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Wiązownica		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.2	1.66
	3.86	4.16	1.7
	4.51	3.9	1.61	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.25)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiązownica
22.6%

Draw
22.2%

Star Starachowice
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

23.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiązownica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wiązownica's form might have worsened.

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Star Starachowice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiązownica than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Star Starachowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wiązownica - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Wiązownica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Star Starachowice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wiązownica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wiązownica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wiązownica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Wiązownica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unia Tarnów - Wiązownica	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLT
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.04.25	Star Starachowice - Lewart Lubartów	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Czarni Połaniec - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.10.24	Star Starachowice - Wiązownica	0:2
03.05.24	Star Starachowice - Wiązownica	1:0
06.10.23	Wiązownica - Star Starachowice	0:1

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