The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Widzew Łódź 30.9%
Draw 28.7%
Górnik Zabrze 40.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
26.6%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
26.9%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Widzew Łódź's form might have worsened.
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Górnik Zabrze (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dragowski B. (C) 70. Gazibegovic J. 25. Wisniewski P. 3. Kapuadi S. 14. Visus R. 5. Papanikolaou G. 19. Males D. 8. Kornvig E. 6. Shehu J. 7. Fornalczyk M. 28. Swiderski K.
1. Schulze P. (G) 21. Zmrzly O. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 19. Peter Federico 6. Hojholt M. 82. Urbanski K. 27. Inoussa Z. 8. Bernardo P. 23. Liseth S.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez F. 99. Bergier S. 79. Biuk S. 17. Cheng C. 48. Golanski F. (G) 30. Ilic V. (G) 20. Klukowski A. 91. Krajewski M. 18. Selahi L. 90. Vermesan I. 4. Zyro M.
4. Bochniewicz P. 66. Dietz M. 28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 29. Kania W. (G) 33. Khlan M. 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 11. Prekop E. 24. Semik K. 2. Warczak P.
Coaches
Stolarski M.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Swiderski K. ⚽, Males D. (A),
22', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
29', Hojholt M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Urbanski K. ⚽, Inoussa Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Swiderski K. ↓, Bergier S. ↑,
60', Kapuadi S. ↓, Cheng C. ↑,
63', Inoussa Z. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
71', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
74', Liseth S. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
78', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Krajewski M. ↑,
78', Males D. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
87', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
88', Urbanski K. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Widzew: Czyz S.
(Knee Injury)
Isaac C.
(Knee Injury)
Lerager L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Paulinho Boia
(Calf Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Widzew has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:23 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Widzew against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Gornik Zabrze
13
8
4
1
21:11
10
28
14
Widzew Lodz
12
1
8
3
15:16
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 38.03%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.34%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.