Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 4

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Widzew Łódź		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.05	3.35	3.55
	2.18	3.44	3.53
	2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.09	3.46	3.44	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.81)	3.33 ↓ (3.54)	3.43 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
44.7%

Draw
28.1%

ŁKS Łódź
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Widzew Łódź's form might have worsened.

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	15.8%	26.3%

Widzew Łódź - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). ŁKS will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ravas H. (G) 95. Stepinski P. (C) 5. Szota S. 2. Silva L. 92. Nunes F. 13. Terpilowski E. 80. Przybulek F. 25. Hanousek Mar. 10. Alvarez F. 19. Pawlowski B. 9. Sanchez J.	1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. (C) 4. Monsalve N. 5. Flis M. 37. Glowacki P. 16. Dani Ramirez 14. Mokrzycki M. 24. Louveau A. 28. Lorenc M. 23. Sliwa M. 9. Tejan K.
Substitutes
14. Ciganiks A. 47. Klimek A. 22. Kun D. 7. Milos M. 99. Rondic I. 6. Shehu J. 74. Szymanski J. (G) 23. Zielinski P. 4. Zyro M.	99. Arndt D. (G) 17. Glapka G. 11. Hoti E. 20. Janczukowicz P. 21. Juric S. 27. Letniowski J. 88. Marciniak A. 10. Pirulo 3. Tutyskinas A.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Moskal K.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Widzew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Widzew will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTW
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.23	ŁKS Łódź - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Ruch Chorzów - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	6:2 ✺
14.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.05.22	ŁKS Łódź - Widzew Łódź	0:1
24.10.21	Widzew Łódź - ŁKS Łódź	2:2
06.03.21	ŁKS Łódź - Widzew Łódź	2:2
16.09.20	Widzew Łódź - ŁKS Łódź	0:2
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.05.17	Widzew Łódź - ŁKS Łódź	0:0

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