Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 1

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Legia Warsaw		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.5
	1.32	5.1	8.5
	1.37	5.16	8.67
	1.33	4.4	8	Watch
	1.36	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.35	5.2	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.91 ↑ (4.67)	7.9 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
69.1%

Draw
19%

ŁKS Łódź
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.9%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for ŁKS Łódź aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	3.3%	16.7%

Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 12. Pankov R. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 22. Elitim J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 20. Muci E. 7. Pekhart T.	1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 4. Monsalve N. 88. Marciniak A. (C) 37. Glowacki P. 14. Mokrzycki M. 10. Pirulo 16. Dani Ramirez 11. Hoti E. 26. Szeliga B. 9. Tejan K.
Substitutes
32. Baku M. 21. Celhaka J. 28. Gual M. 30. Hladun D. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 9. Kramer B. 26. Rejczyk F. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P.	99. Arndt D. (G) 5. Flis M. 17. Glapka G. 18. Ibe-Torti K. 20. Janczukowicz P. 27. Letniowski J. 28. Lorenc M. 23. Sliwa M. 3. Tutyskinas A.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Moskal K.

Preview

Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

ŁKS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ŁKS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently ŁKS have a series of home games.

In this match Legia is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B. (Injury) Nawrocki M. (Injury)

There will not play in ŁKS: Juric S. (Injury) Kowalczyk M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Legia to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Legia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Super Cup
15.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Legia Warsaw - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Legia Warsaw - Botoșani	5:0 ✺
24.06.23	Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW
- ŁKS Łódź
Club Friendly
14.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	6:2 ✺
14.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
05.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
27.06.23	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
09.02.21	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	2:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.02.20	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	3:1
25.08.19	ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw	2:3
03.03.12	Legia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	2:0

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